Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 43.716298 50.319277 57.199367 64.871578 73.157152 81.806152 91.487720
2024-10-13 34.532587 43.888572 54.204844 66.291590 79.937130 94.747879 111.922359
2024-10-20 27.998912 38.566691 50.749194 65.556550 82.807513 102.034112 124.850019
2024-10-27 22.541283 33.623940 46.958366 63.721498 83.800589 106.691518 134.382554
2024-11-03 20.386377 32.358176 47.238272 66.410765 89.831285 116.951704 150.187488
2024-11-10 18.207748 30.752988 46.849583 68.078353 94.484813 125.497532 163.944407
2024-11-17 15.344661 27.878928 44.558197 67.130043 95.761170 129.892225 172.716313
2024-11-24 12.917111 25.308573 42.414166 66.149980 96.819108 133.889073 180.913556
2024-12-01 11.221719 23.593409 41.251666 66.299848 99.182087 139.393419 190.870302
2024-12-08 9.773342 22.072174 40.215761 66.500777 101.523194 144.814932 200.697881
2024-12-15 8.638783 20.906900 39.577269 67.151831 104.384710 150.848077 211.262317
2024-12-22 7.261323 19.146839 37.926681 66.294296 105.185534 154.240858 218.544189
2024-12-29 6.495531 18.377224 37.722064 67.456587 108.695405 161.130483 230.278210
2025-01-05 5.845507 17.733574 37.657381 68.787790 112.426478 168.321483 242.434969
2025-01-12 4.864459 16.292431 36.223318 68.052944 113.300562 171.808812 249.931626
2025-01-19 3.822102 14.515561 34.093634 66.171829 112.510369 173.074867 254.577925
2025-01-26 3.651848 14.610339 35.068499 68.925178 118.134298 182.712305 269.872245
2025-02-02 3.337176 14.321377 35.360815 70.631751 122.300704 190.457189 282.789230
2025-02-09 2.691866 13.101664 33.947697 69.661295 122.663218 193.170831 289.266834
2025-02-16 2.137333 11.956982 32.565268 68.658211 122.920203 195.705216 295.490636
2025-02-23 1.784227 11.263824 31.945824 68.811607 124.800834 200.387733 304.485369
2025-03-02 1.482339 10.629672 31.382742 69.017263 126.734392 205.133125 313.567446
2025-03-09 1.257946 10.171567 31.119492 69.683592 129.325950 210.765358 323.816757